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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #1 2023


Skeptical Science New Research for Week #1 2023

Posted on 5 January 2023 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

Open access notables

In Conservation Biology, snapshots of two books that will probably launch a lot of objections, one by Vaclav Smil and the other yet more Bill Gates. Two doses of carbon budget realism review author Vojtech Novotny sums them up: “Sober assessments of our options for reducing carbon emissions in the real world. They are not optimistic reads.”  Smil frames our future as a possibility built only with old habits, while  Gates places great faith in technology we don’t have. Neither is a comforting arrow pointing to success. 

Robbin Bastiaansen et al. confidently assert a significant claim and go to a great deal of trouble to explain their reasoning in Climate response and sensitivity: time scales and late tipping points. A real appreciation will take a good deal of effort but–hazily— a system can be “preconditioned” with subtle properties that cause climate sensitivity to be “spring loaded” with delay, such that response may appear to be following expectations until late in the game. It would be surprising if this paper didn’t attract attention, scrutiny, discussion. 

Not every roadblock has a NIMBY manning it and even friction of the  sensiible type affecting renewable energy imposes costs of various kinds. Delafield & collaborators show how to work the accounting when environmental or food production requirements thwart deployment in The Financial and Environmental Consequences of Renewable Energy Exclusion Zones.

Major contributors to climate change are unleashing powerful knockon effects leading to disruptions in human affairs at scale. A pair of papers reduces excuses for ignoring symptoms and responsibilities. In their review Measuring the effect of climate change on migration flows: Limitations of existing data and analytical frameworks Marc Helbling & crew do what the title advertises and then seek to identify systematic gaps in our understanding, with an eye to becoming better informed. Meanwhile, Migration and climate change – the role of social protection by Silchenko & Murray reviews prior work on “social protection” as a means of making climate change a bit less jolting to human populations, Via the authors: “Social protection can be described as a set of policies and programs designed to reduce poverty and vulnerability by providing cash or consumption transfers.”  This could of plausibly be rephrased as “taking responsibility for one’s externa costs.”

Jianxiong Hu and a large team of authors appear to have identifed a strong connection in Temperature-related mortality in China from specific injury. From the abstract: “The results show that a 0.50% (95% confident interval (CI): 0.13%–0.88%) increase of injury mortality risk for each 1 °C rise in daily temperature, with higher risk for intentional injury (1.13%, 0.55%–1.71%) than that for unintentional injury (0.40%, 0.04%–0.77%).” The authors illustrate that this translates into fairly large excess mortality in a large population. Hu et al. list some limitations of their analysis, including that their figures do not include excess mortality due to climate-related natural disasters. 

The Impact of Climate Change on Risk and Return in Indian Agriculture. A line from the discussion sounds very dry but is freighted with implications: “Across our several different modelling approaches, one robust finding has been a sharp predicted decline in the first moment of this distribution. This implies potentially substantial uninsurable losses from the changing climate, whether or not insurance markets are well-developed.” For the rest of us, Costa and coauthors are describing an untenable situation affecting enormous numbers of people. See papers on migration, above.

With all that, surely time for some good news. Here it is: Fucoid brown algae inject fucoidan carbon into the ocean. Via scrupulous experimentation authors Buck-Wiese et al. may have resolved an important unknown factor in biological carbon sinks by their reaching the concluson Fucoidan can accumulate in particles and could, through the biological carbon pump, reach the deep ocean where carbon is sequestered. While acknowledging the limited scale of our experiment, we conclude that dissolved fucoidan secretion is likely an overlooked contribution of brown algae to carbon dioxide removal.” Given the ubiquitous nature of the organims under discussion this could be a lot of carbon, a fairly sizable line item in a complicated budget and good to quantify. 

Climate change deniers find this kind of improvement to be catnip, although they’re always disapponted. Katherine Dooley et al. take a long hard look at the sole remaining European historical 19th century or earlier high temperature record and find it wanting. Applying the same analytical methods to another possible candidate results in the same outcome, leaving no such records earlier than te late 20th century. The authors show their work in Reassessing long-standing meteorological records: an example using the national hottest day in Ireland.

New LiDAR-Based Elevation Model Shows Greatest Increase in Global Coastal Exposure to Flooding to Be Caused by Early-Stage Sea-Level Rise by Ronald Vernimmen Aljosja Hooijer surfaces something that should ideally capture a lot of attention: “Radar-based land elevation models applied to date suggest that the increase of area below mean sea level, that is potentially exposed to permanent flooding, will accelerate as SLR proceeds, being relatively limited initially. However, applying new and more accurate satellite LiDAR elevation data we find the opposite pattern, with the fastest increase in the area of exposed land occurring in the early stages of SLR. In one-third of countries most of this increase will be caused by the first meter of SLR and in nearly all within the first 2 m.” Locally and with respect to the Skeptical Science mission, our remark is that digging in heels and trying avoid reality is only going to make things worse. 

127 articles in 48 journals by 971 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Recent weakening relationship between the springtime Indo-Pacific warm pool SST zonal gradient and the subsequent summertime western Pacific subtropical high
Gan et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7890

Unfolding unique features of precipitation-temperature scaling across India
Dash & Maity, Atmospheric Research, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106601

Observations of climate change, effects

A determination of season shifting across Turkey in the period 1965–2020
Aksu, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7705

Approaches to Understanding Decadal and Long-Term Shifts in Observed Precipitation Distributions in Victoria, Australia
Tolhurst et al., Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 10.1175/jamc-d-22-0031.1

Attribution of the 2015 drought in Marathwada, India from a multivariate perspective
Zachariah et al., Weather and Climate Extremes, Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100546

Changes in the frequency and temperature of air masses over east-central Europe
Bartoszek & Kaszewski, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7704

Climate change in the Iberian Peninsula by weather types and temperature
Pérez & García, Atmospheric Research, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106596

Long-term (2001–2020) trend analysis of temperature and rainfall and drought characteristics by in situ measurements at a tropical semi-arid station from southern peninsular India
Thotli et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7783

More frequent consecutive extreme precipitation in the dry regions of China
Huang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7848

Observed trends and variability of seasonal and annual precipitation in Pakistan during 1960–2016
Hussain et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7709

Sensitivity of seasonal air temperature and precipitation, and onset of snowmelt, to Arctic Dipole modes across the Taiga Plains, Northwest Territories, Canada
Persaud et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7810

Significant elevation dependent warming over the Tibetan Plateau after removing longitude and latitude factors
Wu et al., Atmospheric Research, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106603

Significant relationship between Arctic warming and East Asia hot summers
Kim et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7844

Spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extremes based on reanalysis precipitation data during 1950–2020 over the Ganjiang River Basin and its surroundings, China
Li et al., Atmospheric Science Letters, 10.1002/asl.1149

The Alaska Blocking Index, version 2: Analysis and covariability with statewide and large-scale climate from 1948 to 2020
Ballinger et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7864

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

A Climatology of Midlatitude Maritime Cloud Fraction and Radiative Effect Derived from the ARM ENA Ground-Based Observations
Dong et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0290.1

Capability of multi-reanalyses to represent precipitation over the Greenland Ice Sheet
Zhang et al., Atmospheric Research, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106598

Classification of extreme heatwave events in the Northern Hemisphere through a new method
Wang & Wang, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06649-8

Climate response and sensitivity: time scales and late tipping points
Bastiaansen et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Open Access 10.1098/rspa.2022.0483

New improved Brazilian daily weather gridded data (1961–2020)
Xavier et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7731

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Anthropogenic influence on extreme temperature changes over the mid–high latitudes of Asia
Jiang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7753

Aotearoa New Zealand’s 21st-Century Wildfire Climate
Melia et al., Earth’s Future, 10.1029/2022ef002853

Assessment of dry and heavy rainfall days and their projected changes over Northeast Brazil in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models
de Medeiros & de Oliveira, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7759

Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 simulations of the spatial structure of rainfall variability over East Africa: Evaluation and projection
Mbigi et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7868

Dipole response of early-summer rainfall in eastern China to 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming
Lei et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7879

Diurnal temperature range variability driven by cloud cover and precipitation in Mongolian Plateau under global warming
Na et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7702

Impacts of shifting phenology on boundary layer dynamics in North America in the CESM
Li et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109286

Investigating the relative contribution of anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas and land use and land cover change to Asian climate: A dynamical downscaling study
Zhang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7854

Multimodel ensemble projection of precipitation over South Korea using the reliability ensemble averaging
Tegegne & Mellesse, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04350-8

Physical responses of Baiu extreme precipitation to future warming: Examples of the 2018 and 2020 western Japan events
Guo & Hibino, Weather and Climate Extremes, Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100547

Projected dry/wet regimes in China using SPEI under four SSP-RCPs based on statistically downscaled CMIP6 data
Chen et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7824

Projecting spatiotemporal changes of precipitation and temperature in Iraq for different shared socioeconomic pathways with selected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6
Salman et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7794

Projections of future precipitation and air temperature over the Tibetan Plateau based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 multimodel ensembles
Zhang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7865

Projections of precipitation extremes based on bias-corrected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 models ensemble over southern Africa
Lim Kam Sian et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7707

Regional and tele-connected impacts of the Tibetan Plateau surface darkening
Tang et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-35672-w

Southern hemisphere eastern boundary upwelling systems emerging as future marine heatwave hotspots under greenhouse warming
Wang et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-35666-8

The Future of Supercells in the United States
Ashley et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-22-0027.1

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

A multimodel ensemble machine learning approach for CMIP6 climate model projections in an Indian River basin
Dey et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7813

Assessing extreme precipitation from a regional climate model in different spatial–temporal scales: A hydrological perspective in South America
Brêda et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7782

How Well Can Current Climate Models Simulate the Connection of the Early Spring Aleutian Low to the Following Winter ENSO?
Chen et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0323.1

Improved skill of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 over phase 5 models in reproducing weather regimes in East Asia
Chen et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7817

Performance assessment of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models in tropical South America using TOPSIS-based method
da Silva et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7708

Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation
Ha et al., Climate Dynamics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6

Cryosphere & climate change

Estimating glacier mass balance in High Mountain Asia based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer retrieved surface albedo from 2000 to 2020
Xiao et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7873

Variation characteristics of frozen ground degradation in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau observed using time series data of MODIS from 2000 to 2020
Wen et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04344-6

Sea level & climate change

New LiDAR-Based Elevation Model Shows Greatest Increase in Global Coastal Exposure to Flooding to Be Caused by Early-Stage Sea-Level Rise
Vernimmen & Hooijer, Earth’s Future, 10.1029/2022ef002880

Paleoclimate

North Atlantic cooling triggered a zonal mode over the Indian Ocean during Heinrich Stadial 1
Du et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.add4909

Reassessing long-standing meteorological records: an example using the national hottest day in Ireland
Dooley et al., Climate of the Past, Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-19-1-2023

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

Are Mediterranean marine threatened species at high risk by climate change?
Chatzimentor et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16577

Diverse variations in middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere spring phenology sensitivity to diurnal temperature during 1982–2015
Deng et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7827

Effects of climate on fall migration phenology of monarch butterflies departing the northeastern breeding grounds in Canada
Ethier & Mitchell, Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16579

Global variation in nonstructural carbohydrate stores in response to climate
Blumstein et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16573

Impacts of marine heatwaves on byssus production in highly invasive fouling mussels
Xu et al., Marine Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.marenvres.2022.105871

Responses of vegetation phenology to the asymmetric changes of temperature in daytime and night-time in the north of 20°N
Hou et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7699

Uncertainty and risk of pruned distributional ranges induced by climate shifts for alpine species: a case study for 79 Kobresia species in China
Wu, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04343-7

Warming of experimental plant–pollinator communities advances phenologies, alters traits, reduces interactions and depresses reproduction
de Manincor et al., Ecology Letters, 10.1111/ele.14158

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

Carbon emission and export from the Ket River, western Siberia
Lim et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-485

Fucoid brown algae inject fucoidan carbon into the ocean
Buck-Wiese et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 10.1073/pnas.2210561119

Fungivorous nematodes drive microbial diversity and carbon cycling in soil
Kane et al., Ecology, 10.1002/ecy.3844

Methane emissions offset atmospheric carbon dioxide uptake in coastal macroalgae, mixed vegetation and sediment ecosystems
Roth et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-35673-9

Remote sensing of dissolved CO2 concentrations in meso-eutrophic lakes using Sentinel-3 imagery
Qi et al., Remote Sensing of Environment, 10.1016/j.rse.2022.113431

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

An appraisal of carbon capture and sequestration in few selected wetlands of West Bengal
Nag et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02881-8

The governance of forest carbon in a subnational climate mitigation system: insights from a network of action situations approach
Ruseva, Sustainability Science, 10.1007/s11625-022-01262-4

Decarbonization

A laboratory assessment of how biomass pellets could reduce indoor air pollution, mitigate climate change and benefit health compared to other solid fuels used in Ghana
Mawusi et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2022.12.011

Can the extension of the global value chain production length promote carbon emissions reduction in China’s equipment manufacturing industry?
Huang et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02795-5

Does biased technological progress facilitate the reduction of transportation carbon emissions? A threshold-based perspective
Yang et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02883-6

Dynamic semiconductor-electrolyte interface for sustainable solar water splitting over 600 hours under neutral conditions
Gao et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.ade4589

Environmental Life Cycle Assessment of biomass and cardboard waste-based briquettes production and consumption in Andean areas
Ferronato et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2022.12.005

Experimental investigation of spherical salt balls effect on solar distillers’ thermal performance at various water depths
Attia et al., International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-022-04724-5

High-temperature heat pumps in climate pathways for selected industry sectors in Switzerland
Obrist et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113383

Influence of negative and positive perceptions about renewable energy on intention to use bio—and other renewable energy sources
Dagili?t?, Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02731-7

Introducing a design procedure for Archimedes Screw Turbine based on optimization algorithm
Shahverdi et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2022.12.004

Modeling expected air quality impacts of Oregon’s proposed expanded clean fuels program
Li et al., Atmospheric Environment, 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2023.119582

The Financial and Environmental Consequences of Renewable Energy Exclusion Zones
Delafield et al., Environmental and Resource Economics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10640-022-00749-z

Thermal performance of indirect solar dryer and drying kinetics of guava without and with thermal energy storage
Mugi et al., International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-022-04713-8

Tracking hydrogen projects
Gallagher, Nature Energy, 10.1038/s41560-022-01185-5

Tube length optimization of titania nanotube array for efficient photoelectrochemical water splitting
Inoue et al., Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-27278-5

Variability in greenhouse gas footprints of the global wind farm fleet
Dammeier et al., Journal of Industrial Ecology, 10.1111/jiec.13325

Aerosols

Formation of the North Atlantic Warming Hole by reducing anthropogenic sulphate aerosols
Kusakabe & Takemura, Scientific Reports, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-022-27315-3

Underestimated passive volcanic sulfur degassing implies overestimated anthropogenic aerosol forcing
Jongebloed et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102061

Climate change communications & cognition

Alaska fishers attest to climate change impacts in discourse on resource management under marine heatwaves
Szymkowiak & Steinkruger, Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.12.019

Effects and resilience to climate crisis among adolescents: a narrative review on South Asian countries
Patel & Rajak , Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2022.2149255

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Climate change in Brazilian agriculture: vulnerability and adaptation assessment
dos Santos et al., International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-022-04730-7

Exploring vulnerabilities of inland fisheries in Indian context with special reference to climate change and their mitigation and adaptation: a review
Paul et al., International Journal of Biometeorology, 10.1007/s00484-022-02417-9

Gender empowerment and parity in East Africa: evidence from climate-smart agriculture in Ethiopia and Kenya
Tesfaye et al., Climate and Development, Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2022.2154124

The greenhouse gas rebound effect from increased energy efficiency across China’s staple crops
Zhen et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113398

The Impact of Climate Change on Risk and Return in Indian Agriculture
Costa et al., Environmental and Resource Economics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10640-022-00755-1

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

A comprehensive analysis of observed and projected climate extremes of temperature and precipitation in Belo Monte Hydropower Plant – eastern Amazon, Brazil
Luiz?Silva et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7859

Agricultural water allocation with climate change based on gray wolf optimization in a semi-arid region of China
Wang et al., PeerJ, Open Access 10.7717/peerj.14577

Comparisons of changes in compound dry and hot events in China based on different drought indicators
Zhang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7698

Differences in drought evolution as portrayed for China using various evapotranspiration models and drought indices
Wang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7829

Future changes in extreme precipitation in central Asia with 1.5–4°C global warming based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 simulations
Zhang & Wang, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7740

More frequent consecutive extreme precipitation in the dry regions of China
Huang et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7848

Observed trends and variability of seasonal and annual precipitation in Pakistan during 1960–2016
Hussain et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7709

Physical responses of Baiu extreme precipitation to future warming: Examples of the 2018 and 2020 western Japan events
Guo & Hibino, Weather and Climate Extremes, Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100547

Spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extremes based on reanalysis precipitation data during 1950–2020 over the Ganjiang River Basin and its surroundings, China
Li et al., Atmospheric Science Letters, 10.1002/asl.1149

Stepwise cluster ensemble downscaling for drought projection under climate change
Wen et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7977

The altered drivers of evapotranspiration trends around the recent warming hiatus in China
Sun et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7732

Climate change economics

Climate change risks and financial performance of the electric power sector: Evidence from listed companies in China
Sun et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100474

Financials threaten to undermine the functioning of emissions markets
Quemin & Pahle Pahle, Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01560-w

Low-carbon transition risks for India’s financial system
Colenbrander et al., Global Environmental Change, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102634

Sustainability of an economy from the water-energy-food nexus perspective
Morales-García & Rubio, Environment, Development and Sustainability, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-022-02877-4

Climate change mitigation public policy research

A bigger bang for the buck: The impact of risk reduction on renewable energy support payments in Europe
?ukan & Kitzing, Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113395

Carbon tax acceptance in a polarized society: bridging the partisan divide over climate policy in the US
Marcos et al., Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2022.2161981

Evaluating sector-based impact of environmental indicators on Iran GHGs emission: a scenario developing approach
Mousavi et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02805-6

The Financial and Environmental Consequences of Renewable Energy Exclusion Zones
Delafield et al., Environmental and Resource Economics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10640-022-00749-z

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

A multi-hazard risk framework to stress-test water supply systems to climate-related disruptions
Becher et al., Earth’s Future, 10.1029/2022ef002946

Adaptation pathways to inform policy and practice in the context of development
Sparkes et al., Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.12.011

Climate adaptation in Coastal Virginia: an analysis of existing policies and main stakeholders
Eghdami et al., Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2022.2152773

Measuring the effect of climate change on migration flows: Limitations of existing data and analytical frameworks
Helbling et al., PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000078

Migration and climate change – the role of social protection
Silchenko & Murray, Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100472

Socioeconomic Vulnerability and Climate Risk in Coastal Virginia
Eghdami et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100475

The impact of climate change on drought and its adaptation strategies: findings from general circulation models and households in Tien Giang Province, Vietnam
Nghia et al., Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-022-03473-1

Climate change impacts on human health

Projected impact of increased global warming on heat stress and exposed population over Africa
Fotso-Nguemo et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.1002/essoar.10512362.1

Temperature-related mortality in China from specific injury
Hu et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-35462-4

The effectiveness of heat preparation and alleviation strategies for cognitive performance: A systematic review
Donnan et al., Temperature, 10.1080/23328940.2022.2157645

Climate change & geopolitics

Measuring the effect of climate change on migration flows: Limitations of existing data and analytical frameworks
Helbling et al., PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000078

Sino-American competition and the future of climate cooperation
Moore, WIREs Climate Change, 10.1002/wcc.821

The Future of Environmental Peace and Conflict Research
Ide et al., Environmental Politics, Open Access 10.1080/09644016.2022.2156174

Climate change impacts on human culture

Climate change impacts on immovable cultural heritage in polar regions: A systematic bibliometric review
Nicu & Fatori?, WIREs Climate Change, 10.1002/wcc.822

Other

Challenging the values of the polluter elite: A global consequentialist response to Evensen and Graham’s (2022) ‘The irreplaceable virtues of in-person conferences’
Whitmarsh & Kreil, Journal of Environmental Psychology, 10.1016/j.jenvp.2022.101881

Enhancement of the relationship between spring extreme precipitation over Southwest China and preceding winter sea surface temperature anomalies over the South Indian Ocean after the late 1980s
Nan et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7746

Evolutionary norm-breaking and extinction in the marine tropics
Vermeij, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 10.1073/pnas.2217880120

Recent weakening of the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and western North Pacific tropical cyclone season onset date
Gao et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7837

Book reviews

Two doses of carbon budget realism
Novotny, Conservation Biology, 10.1111/cobi.14049


Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

Counting The Cost 2022. A year of climate breakdown, Christian Aid

The 10 most financially costly disaster-related events in 2022 all had an impact of $3 billion or more. Most of these estimates are based only on insured losses, meaning the true financial costs are likely to be even higher, while the human costs are often uncounted.

National Preparedness Report, Federal Emergency Management Agency

The authors summarize the progress made toward building and sustaining the capabilities needed to prevent, protect against, mitigate, respond to, and recover from the threats and hazards that pose the greatest risk to the nation and describes the major gaps in emergency management preparedness. This annual report offers practical insights into preparedness to support decisions about program priorities, resource allocations, and actions for increasing whole community resilience.


Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions

We know it’s frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light”  but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article’s relevance and importance. 

  • Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate

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How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database. 

The objective of New Research isn’t to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers’ impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

  • Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a “yes” to this automatically. 
  • Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week’s 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.

The section “Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives” includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of “perspectives,” observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.

Suggestions

Please let us know if you’re aware of an article you think may be of interest for Skeptical Science research news, or if we’ve missed something that may be important. Send your input to Skeptical Science via our contact form.

Journals covered

A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.

Previous edition

The previous edition of Skeptical Science New Research may be found here.



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