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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #2 2023


Skeptical Science New Research for Week #2 2023

Posted on 12 January 2023 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

Open access notables 

The authors don’t discuss it but folks who follow our GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry section will likely form some immediate connections from this paper and ask “what’s this going to release?” Significant underestimation of peatland permafrost along the Labrador Sea coastline in northern Canada  just published in The Cryosphere exploits maximum value with maximum reliability from challenging data to sharply improve our acuity in inventorying key permafrost. The author team is lead by Yifeng Wang but we must note: the paper’s second author is Skeptical Science’s very own volunteer Robert Way. Proud! 

In this week’s government/NGO reports section we find California’s Oil and Gas Workers: An analysis of the fossil fuel workforce, occupational transition opportunities, and State support for potentially impacted workers, assembled by the Gender Equality Policy InstituteBehind the frontlines of dealing with our climate problem are multiple echelons of subordinate components. We’re looking at a systematic reweaving of economic patterns all while our machinery of economics must continue functioning.  Forgetting about big but not-so-obvious pieces will have negative feedback effects; let  us unleashing needless misery, omissions will leave large numbers of people high and dry, inevitably causing political friction and in turn costing time we can’t afford. So while work like this may seem rather boring, it’s absolutely key to our success. 

Planning any type of significant infrastructure? If those plans don’t include the changes in geophysics we’ve triggered, they’re incomplete and will lead to various failures and inefficiencies. Here’s how that unfolds as illuminated by Basheer et al.: Negotiating Nile infrastructure management should consider climate change uncertainties

Becoming more conspicuous as our collective failures become more obvious: successful nation states employ layers of jurisdiction and governance, with their overall “big picture” handled by central governments having more or less coercive powers over subordinate units— yet this system stops at national borders. Is there reason to think that the system that successfully works to produce a fair overall approximation of civilization at all lower scales is mysteriously optional past a certain point? Can we expect success from this rule-breaking? How might that happen? In his opinion piece in PLOS Climate Aarti Gupta offers a partial workaround for missing rules in The advent of ‘radical’ transparency: Transforming multilateral climate politics?

“The climate isn’t changing.” We still hear this despite our lying eyes. In point of fact our climate is rapidly changing (and “too rapid” is a major of the problem) and surfacing evidence of that is one of quite a few reasons why we do this New Research feature. For every one major story about observed climate change effects we see broadly covered, there are many more that never leave the academic sphere.  Revisiting the agro-climatic zones of Ghana: A re-classification in conformity with climate change and variability is one such work, by Yamba et al. and intently focused on the vital task of keeping up with the reality we’re creating. “People gotta eat,” but if we’re using anachronistic pre-climate-mess records, they won’t. The authors are working on avoiding that problem. 

What’s in the tin is on the label of The Increasing Efficiency of the Poleward Energy Transport into the Arctic in a Warming Climate. Christopher Cardinale and Brian Rose arrive at an outcome that may seem counterintuitive to the armchair climate scientist.  

144 articles in 54 journals by 1,052 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

A physical analysis of summertime North American heatwaves
Yu et al., Climate Dynamics, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s00382-022-06642-1

Hidden heatwaves and severe coral bleaching linked to mesoscale eddies and thermocline dynamics
Wyatt et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-022-35550-5

Teleconnections among tipping elements in the Earth system
Liu et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01558-4

Observations of climate change, effects

Appraisal of climate change and source of heavy metals, sediments in water of the Kunhar River watershed, Pakistan
Soomro et al., Natural Hazards, 10.1007/s11069-022-05760-7

Biophysical impacts of earth greening can substantially mitigate regional land surface temperature warming
Li et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-35799-4

Climatology and significant trends in air temperature in Alagoas, Northeast Brazil
Silva et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1667095/v1

Recent change in summer rainfall over the Tibetan Plateau: roles of anthropogenic forcing and internal variability
Ding et al., Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-023-06661-6

Revisit the upper portion of the Japan Sea Proper Water: A recent structural change and freshening in the formation area
Senjyu & Shiota, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc019094

Weakening summer westerly circulation actuates greening of the Tibetan Plateau
Wang et al., Global and Planetary Change, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2022.104027

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

A data integration framework for spatial interpolation of temperature observations using climate model data
Economou et al., PeerJ, Open Access 10.7717/peerj.14519

Attribution of observed changes in extreme temperatures to anthropogenic forcing using CMIP6 models
Engdaw et al., Weather and Climate Extremes, Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100548

Changes of Extreme High Temperature by Global Warming in the Northern Hemisphere
Cao et al., Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 10.1175/jamc-d-22-0043.1

Evaluation of ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis precipitation datasets over Spain (1951–2020)
Gomis-Cebolla et al., Atmospheric Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106606

When things get MESI: the Manipulation Experiments Synthesis Initiative – a coordinated effort to synthesize terrestrial global change experiments
Van Sundert et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16585

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Future precipitation projection in Bangladesh using SimCLIM climate model: A multi-model ensemble approach
Islam et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7605

Increasing Precipitation Efficiency Amplifies Climate Sensitivity by Enhancing Tropical Circulation Slowdown and Eastern Pacific Warming Pattern
Li et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl100836

Mesoscale convective systems over the Amazon basin in a changing climate under global warming
Rehbein & Ambrizzi, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06657-8

Northern Hemisphere Heat Extremes in a Warmer Climate: More Probable but Less Colocated with Blocking
Narinesingh et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101211

Potential weakening of the June 2012 North American derecho under future warming conditions
Li et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037494

Projected changes in precipitation characteristics over the Drakensberg Mountain Range
Takong & Abiodun, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7989

The dynamics of the equatorial Atlantic upwelling seasonal cycle under global warming and its potential impact on Pacific ENSO
Wang et al., Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06654-x

The Increasing Efficiency of the Poleward Energy Transport into the Arctic in a Warming Climate
Cardinale & Rose Rose, ESS Open Archive, Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10512237.1

Why Is Climate Sensitivity for Solar Forcing Smaller than for an Equivalent CO2 Forcing?
Kaur et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0980.1

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

Does increasing climate model horizontal resolution be beneficial for the Mediterranean region? : Multimodel evaluation framework for High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project
Mishra et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037812

Impacts of an aerosol layer on a midlatitude continental system of cumulus clouds: how do these impacts depend on the vertical location of the aerosol layer?
Lee et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-273-2023

Improving snow albedo parameterization scheme based on remote sensing data
Li et al., Atmospheric Research, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106602

Representation of moist convective processes in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 models for the simulation of Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal variability
Tirkey et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7765

The underestimation of spring precipitation over South China is caused by the weak simulations of the dynamic motion in CMIP6 models
Ai et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7991

Cryosphere & climate change

Antarctic Sea Ice Holds the Fate of Antarctic Ice-Shelf Basal Melting in a Warming Climate
Kusahara et al., Journal of Climate, 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0079.1

GRACE and mass budget method reveal decelerated ice loss in east Greenland in the past decade
Wang et al., Remote Sensing of Environment, 10.1016/j.rse.2023.113450

Significant underestimation of peatland permafrost along the Labrador Sea coastline in northern Canada
Wang et al., The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-63-2023

Snow depth alteration and its relation with climate variability in China
Saydi et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7993

Weekly to monthly terminus variability of Greenland’s marine-terminating outlet glaciers
Black & Joughin Joughin Joughin, The Cryosphere, Open Access pdf 10.5194/tc-17-1-2023

Sea level & climate change

Effect of Estuary Urbanization on Tidal Dynamics and High Tide Flooding in a Coastal Lagoon
Pareja?Roman et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc018777

Paleoclimate

Atmospheric River Contributions to Ice Sheet Hydroclimate at the Last Glacial Maximum
Skinner et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101750

Palaeontological evidence for community-level decrease in mesopelagic fish size during Pleistocene climate warming in the eastern Mediterranean
Agiadi et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Open Access 10.1098/rspb.2022.1994

Simulations of the Holocene climate in Europe using an interactive downscaling within the iLOVECLIM model (version 1.1)
Arthur et al., Climate of the Past, Open Access pdf 10.5194/cp-19-87-2023

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

A reconstruction of parasite burden reveals one century of climate-associated parasite decline
Wood et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 10.1073/pnas.2211903120

Amazon windthrow disturbances are likely to increase with storm frequency under global warming
Feng et al., Nature Communications, Open Access 10.1038/s41467-022-35570-1

Current and lagged climate affects phenology across diverse taxonomic groups
Prather et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 10.1098/rspb.2022.2181

Does long-term soil warming affect microbial element limitation? A test by short-term assays of microbial growth responses to labile C, N and P additions
Shi et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16591

Effects of global environmental change on microalgal photosynthesis, growth and their distribution
Kholssi et al., Marine Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.105877

Exposure to elevated temperature during development affects bumblebee foraging behavior
Gérard et al., Behavioral Ecology, Open Access 10.1093/beheco/arac045

Including imprecisely georeferenced specimens improves accuracy of species distribution models and estimates of niche breadth
Smith et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.1101/2021.06.10.447988

Phenological mismatches and the demography of solitary bees
Vázquez et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Open Access 10.1098/rspb.2022.1847

Rapid eco-phenotypic feedback and the temperature response of biomass dynamics
Gibert et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.1101/2022.06.17.496633

Resampling alpine herbarium records reveals changes in plant traits over space and time
Jaroszynska et al., Journal of Ecology, 10.1111/1365-2745.14062

Satellite observed reversal in trends of spring phenology in the middle-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere during the global warming hiatus
Xiong et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16580

Short-term improvement of heat tolerance in naturally growing Acropora corals in Okinawa
Singh et al., PeerJ, Open Access 10.7717/peerj.14629

The ecosystem wilting point defines drought response and recovery of a Quercus-Carya forest
Wood et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16582

Tolerance of coralline algae to ocean warming and marine heatwaves
Krieger et al., PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000092

Tropicalization shifts herbivore pressure from seagrass to rocky reef communities
Santana-Garcon et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Open Access 10.1098/rspb.2022.1744

Warming and hypoxia reduce the performance and survival of northern bay scallops (Argopecten irradians irradians) amid a fishery collapse
Tomasetti et al., Global Change Biology, Open Access 10.1111/gcb.16575

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

An inversion model based on GEOS-Chem for estimating global and China’s terrestrial carbon fluxes in 2019
Chong-Yuan et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.01.001

Client-side energy and GHGs assessment of advertising and tracking in the news websites
Pesari et al., Journal of Industrial Ecology, 10.1111/jiec.13376

First assessment of seagrass carbon accumulation rates in Sweden: A field study from a fjord system at the Skagerrak coast
Dahl et al., PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000099

From source to sink – recovery of the carbon balance in young forests
Grelle et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109290

Nitrogen increases soil organic carbon accrual and alters its functionality
Tang et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16588

River Corridor Sources Dominate CO2 Emissions from a Lowland River Network
, HydroShare Resources, Open Access 10.4211/hs.53c0ae4cf09b404fb19a77ed2018e186

Sources and sequestration rate of organic carbon in sediments of the bare tidal flat ecosystems: A model approach
Dang et al., Marine Environmental Research, 10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.105876

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

Ecosystem carbon budgeting under Swietenia macrophylla King plantation in sub humid foothills of Eastern Himalayans of India
Dinesha et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02902-6

Integrating carbon stocks and landscape connectivity for nature-based climate solutions
O’Brien et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access 10.1002/ece3.9725

Machine learning for industrial processes: Forecasting amine emissions from a carbon capture plant
Jablonka et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.adc9576

Performance analysis of power plant designed with a carbon capture unit: study of an oil refinery
Shamsaei et al., International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-022-04707-6

Decarbonization

Assessing the water–energy–carbon nexus (WECN) in combined cycle power plants in Iran
Ghodrati et al., International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-022-04749-w

Emerging photo-integrated rechargeable aqueous zinc-ion batteries and capacitors toward direct solar energy conversion and storage
Wang et al., Carbon Neutralization, 10.1002/cnl2.41

Experimental analysis and dynamic simulation of a solar-assisted industrial process using parabolic trough solar collectors under outdoor conditions
Y?lmaz et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, 10.1016/j.esd.2022.12.017

Mapping electric vehicle impacts: greenhouse gas emissions, fuel costs, and energy justice in the United States
Vega-Perkins et al., Environmental Research Letters, Open Access 10.1088/1748-9326/aca4e6

Role of hydrogen in China’s energy transition towards carbon neutrality target: IPAC analysis
Pian-Pian et al., Advances in Climate Change Research, Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2022.12.004

Sunspots That Matter: The Effect of Weather on Solar Technology Adoption
Lamp, Environmental and Resource Economics, Open Access 10.1007/s10640-022-00753-3

Thermodynamics of integrated energy supply for small-scale production and living condition in rural areas
Zhu et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2022.12.016

Time, history and meaning-making in research on people’s relations with renewable energy technologies (RETs) – A conceptual proposal
Küpers & Batel, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113358

Toward a low-carbon and circular building sector: Building strategies and urbanization pathways for the Netherlands
van Oorschot et al., Journal of Industrial Ecology, 10.1111/jiec.13375

Wind-energy development alters pronghorn migration at multiple scales
Milligan et al., Ecology and Evolution, Open Access 10.1002/ece3.9687

Exploration of the nexus between solar potential and electric vehicle uptake: A case study of Auckland, New Zealand
Wen et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113406

Geoengineering climate

Dependence of strategic solar climate intervention on background scenario and model physics
Fasullo & Richter, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-163-2023

Limits and CO2 equilibration of near-coast alkalinity enhancement
He & Tyka Tyka, [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2022-683

Sudden Reduction of Antarctic Sea Ice Despite Cooling After Nuclear War
Coupe et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 10.1029/2022jc018774

Aerosols

A full year of aerosol size distribution data from the central Arctic under an extreme positive Arctic Oscillation: insights from the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition
Boyer et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-389-2023

Emission reductions significantly reduce the hemispheric contrast in cloud droplet number concentration in recent two decades
Cao et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2022jd037417

Long-term upper-troposphere climatology of potential contrail occurrence over the Paris area derived from radiosonde observations
Wolf et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Open Access pdf 10.5194/acp-23-287-2023

Subsurface Ocean Temperature Responses to the Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing in the North Pacific
Shi et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101035

Climate change communications & cognition

Attention to news media coverage of unconventional oil/gas development impacts: Exploring psychological antecedents and effects on issue support
Clarke & Evensen, Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113355

Biospheric values as predictor of climate change risk perception: A multinational investigation
Martin, Risk Analysis, 10.1111/risa.14083

Changing behavioral responses to heat risk in a warming world: How can communication approaches be improved?
McLoughlin et al., WIREs Climate Change, Open Access 10.1002/wcc.819

Effects of COVID-19 on civil society voices in European energy and climate policy
Nosko & Ušiak , Energy Policy, Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113421

Evaluating the Terms Americans Use to Refer to “Carbon Emissions”
Commerçon et al., Environmental Communication, Open Access 10.1080/17524032.2022.2156907

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

A monitoring, reporting and verification system for low carbon agriculture: A case study from Brazil
Perosa et al., Environmental Science & Policy, 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.12.006

Analysis and prediction of carbon emissions from food consumption of middle-income groups: evidence from Yangtze River Economic Belt in China
Pang et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02843-0

Economic Value and Latent Demand for Agricultural Drought Forecast: Emerging Market for Weather and Climate Information in Central-Southern Nigeria
Awolala et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100478

Measures of livelihoods and their effect on vulnerability of farmers to climate change: evidence from coastal and non-coastal regions in India
Das et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-02911-z

Mitigation potential and trade-offs for nitrous oxide emissions and carbon balances of irrigated mixed-species and ryegrass-clover pastures
Laubach et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109310

Multiple adoption of Climate-Smart Agriculture Innovation for agricultural sustainability: Empirical evidence from the Upper Blue Nile Highlands of Ethiopia
Teklu et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100477

Multiple adoption of Climate-Smart Agriculture Innovation for agricultural sustainability: Empirical evidence from the Upper Blue Nile Highlands of Ethiopia
Teklu et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100477

Predicting the future climate-related prevalence and distribution of crop pests and diseases affecting major food crops in Zambia
Nguru & Mwongera, PLOS Climate, Open Access 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000064

Recent decline of irrigation-induced cooling effect over the North China Plain in observations and model simulations
Liu et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl101973

Research trends and gaps in climate change impacts and adaptation potentials in major crops
Wakatsuki et al., Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Open Access 10.1016/j.cosust.2022.101249

Revisiting the agro-climatic zones of Ghana: A re-classification in conformity with climate change and variability
Yamba et al., ESS Open Archive, Open Access 10.1002/essoar.10512022.1

The genomic and bioclimatic characterization of Ethiopian barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) unveils challenges and opportunities to adapt to a changing climate
Caproni et al., Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.16560

When does upcycling mitigate climate change? The case of wet spent grains and fruit and vegetable residues in Canada
Jain & Gualandris, Journal of Industrial Ecology, 10.1111/jiec.13373

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

Anomalous rainfall trends in the North-Western Indian Himalayan Region (NW-IHR)
Upadhyaya et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04280-5

Centennial analysis in tropical cyclone-induced precipitation in Korea
Chang et al., Weather and Climate Extremes, Open Access 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100549

Changing seasonality of daily and monthly precipitation extremes for the contiguous USA and possible connections with large-scale climate patterns
Dhakal et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7994

Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 and 6 representation of peak and end of rainy season over Upper Blue Nile basin
Fetene et al., International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.7736

Hydrological extremes and climatic controls on streamflow in Jhelum basin, NW Himalaya
Ahsan et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-022-04346-4

Relative importance of climatic and anthropogenic factors on runoff change at watershed scale
Forootan & Sadeghi, International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 10.1007/s13762-023-04759-2

The impact of climate change on river alternate bars
Redolfi et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2022gl102072

Climate change economics

Better insurance could effectively mitigate the increase in economic growth losses from U.S. hurricanes under global warming
Otto et al., Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.add6616

Does Climate Change Constitute a Financial Risk to Foreign Direct Investment? An Empirical Analysis on 200 Countries from 1970 to 2020
Ait Soussane et al., Weather, Climate, and Society, 10.1175/wcas-d-22-0027.1

Meta-analysis on necessary investment shifts to reach net zero pathways in Europe
Klaaßen & Steffen, Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01549-5

Renewable energy, fiscal policy and load capacity factor in BRICS countries: novel findings from panel nonlinear ARDL model
Adebayo & Samour, Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-022-02888-1

Climate change and the circular economy

Developing regenerate: A circular economy engagement tool for the assessment of new and existing buildings
Gillott et al., Journal of Industrial Ecology, 10.1111/jiec.13377

Sustainable energy transition and circular economy: The heterogeneity of potential investors in rural community renewable energy projects
Romero-Castro et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10668-022-02898-z

Climate change mitigation public policy research

Carbon tax salience counteracts price effects through moral licensing
Hartmann et al., Global Environmental Change, 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102635

Emissions and prices are anticorrelated in Australia’s electricity grid, undermining the potential of energy storage to support decarbonisation
Bardwell et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113409

Evaluating the effect of low-carbon city pilot policy on urban PM2.5: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China
He et al., Environment, Development and Sustainability, 10.1007/s10668-023-02906-w

Forecasting environmental and social benefits of adopting cleaner technologies in Indian brick manufacturing industry
Abbas et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2022.12.001

Multidimensional partisanship shapes climate policy support and behaviours
Mayer & Smith, Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01548-6

Regional industrial redistribution and carbon emissions: a dynamic analysis for China
Shen et al., Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2022.2161980

The challenge of just transition in China’s coal power sector: a city-level employment vulnerability assessment
Yuan et al., Climate Policy, 10.1080/14693062.2022.2149453

The source of wind power producers’ market power
Yu et al., Energy Policy, 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113401

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

Anticipatory action to manage climate risks: lessons from the Red Cross Red Crescent in Southern Africa, Bangladesh, and beyond
Tozier de la Poterie et al., Climate Risk Management, Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100476

Assessment of climate change’s impact on energy demand in Mexican buildings: Projection in single-family houses based on Representative Concentration Pathways
Jiménez Torres et al., Energy for Sustainable Development, Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2022.12.012

Climate change adaptation through agroforestry: opportunities and gaps
Quandt et al., Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Open Access 10.1016/j.cosust.2022.101244

Climate change and coastal resiliency of Suva, Fiji: a holistic approach for measuring climate risk using the climate and ocean risk vulnerability index (CORVI)
Shiiba et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 10.1007/s11027-022-10043-4

Coastal Melaleuca wetlands under future climate and sea-level rise scenarios in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: vulnerability and conservation
Dang et al., Regional Environmental Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-02009-8

Collective adaptation to climate change
Thier & Lin , Environmental Communication, Open Access pdf 10.1080/17524032.2022.2143842

Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties
Basheer et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01556-6

Environmental non-migration: framework, methods, and cases
Mallick & Hunter, Regional Environmental Change, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10113-022-02019-6

Legal culture and climate change adaptation: An agenda for research
Hoddy et al., WIREs Climate Change, Open Access 10.1002/wcc.825

The role of the scientific community in strengthening disability-inclusive climate resilience
Stein et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01564-6

Climate change impacts on human health

Appraisal of climate change and source of heavy metals, sediments in water of the Kunhar River watershed, Pakistan
Soomro et al., Natural Hazards, 10.1007/s11069-022-05760-7

Changing behavioral responses to heat risk in a warming world: How can communication approaches be improved?
McLoughlin et al., WIREs Climate Change, Open Access 10.1002/wcc.819

Electromagnetic and climatic foundations of human aggression
León, Journal of Environmental Psychology, 10.1016/j.jenvp.2023.101953

Modeling past and future spatiotemporal distributions of airborne allergenic pollen across the contiguous United States
Ren et al., Frontiers in Allergy, Open Access pdf 10.3389/falgy.2022.959594

Climate change & geopolitics

The advent of ‘radical’ transparency: Transforming multilateral climate politics?
Gupta, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000117

Other

Anticipating the occurrence and type of critical transitions
Grziwotz et al., [journal not provided], Open Access pdf 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397318/v1

Challenging the values of the polluter elite: A global consequentialist response to Evensen and Graham’s (2022) ‘The irreplaceable virtues of in-person conferences’
Whitmarsh & Kreil, Journal of Environmental Psychology, 10.1016/j.jenvp.2022.101881

Role of air-sea heat flux on the transformation of Atlantic Water encircling the Nordic Seas
Huang et al., Nature Communications, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-023-35889-3

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

COP27: One step on loss and damage for the most vulnerable countries, no step for the fight against climate change
Pflieger, PLOS Climate, Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000136

Integrated modeling to achieve global goals: lessons from the Food, Agriculture, Biodiversity, Land-use, and Energy (FABLE) initiative
Jones et al., Sustainability Science, Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11625-023-01290-8

Ken Berlin—Climate science, risk, and solutions must be communicated together
Burger et al., Risk Analysis, 10.1111/risa.14034

Negotiating Nile infrastructure management should consider climate change uncertainties
Basheer et al., Nature Climate Change, Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41558-022-01557-5

The role of the scientific community in strengthening disability-inclusive climate resilience
Stein et al., Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01564-6


Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

California’s Oil and Gas Workers: An analysis of the fossil fuel workforce, occupational transition opportunities, and State support for potentially impacted workers, Gender Equality Policy Institute

A key challenge in meeting California’s climate action goals is to devise a fair, equitable, and empirically-based policy to provide support for workers at risk of unemployment and income loss as many factors combine to reduce demand in the state for oil and gas products. To assist in scoping the elements and cost of supporting impacted workers, the authors analyzed the California labor force employed by the oil and gas industries and electric power to identify the number and type of workers that could be negatively affected by the shift to a clean energy economy. The authors conducted a novel occupational analysis of the labor force in order to identify job opportunities for oil and gas industry workers in industries active in California. In contrast to other studies examining the job impacts of decarbonization, the authors analyze potential employment opportunities for oil and gas workers in all growing occupations, not solely in clean energy or green jobs.

Sixth Oregon Climate Assessment, Fleishman, E., editor, Climate Change Research Institute, Oregon State University

Established and emerging understanding of observed and projected climate change in Oregon, and knowledge of the opportunities and risks that climate change poses to natural and human systems, may serve as a resource for actions such as equitable planning for the mitigation of climate-related natural hazards. For example, Oregon’s annual average temperature increased by about 2.2°F per century since 1895. If greenhouse gas emissions continue at current levels, the annual temperature in Oregon is projected to increase by 5°F by the 2050s and 8.2°F by the 2080s, with the greatest seasonal increases in summer. Precipitation is projected to increase during winter and decrease during summer, and the number and intensity of heavy winter precipitation events are projected to increase. Furthermore, the proportion of precipitation falling as rain rather than snow is expected to increase.

Biofuels and the Environment: Third Triennial Report to Congress, Lead et al., US. Environmental Protection Agency

The authors focus on the dominant biofuel sources in the U.S. including (1) domestic corn ethanol from corn starch, (2) domestic biodiesel from soybean oil, (3) domestic biodiesel from fats, oils, and greases (FOGs), and (4) imported ethanol from Brazilian sugarcane. They examine the effects of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program on the environment, including the impacts to date and likely future impacts on the nation’s air, land, and water resources. They focus on environmental and resource conservation issues, including effects on air quality, soil quality and conservation, water quality and availability, terrestrial ecosystems, aquatic ecosystems, wetlands, and consideration of invasive or noxious species. The authors emphasize domestic effects but they also examine effects overseas from U.S. biofuel trade with other countries.

EU Market Outlook for Solar Power 2022-2026, Schmela et al., SolarPower Europe

In 2022 solar power displayed its’ true potential for the very first time in the EU, driven by record-high energy prices and geopolitical tensions that largely improved its business case. No longer constrained by severe supply chain bottlenecks and COVID-19-related restrictions, the 27 EU Member States saw 41.4 GW of new solar PV capacity connected to their grids, a 47% increase compared to 2021. Like last year, Germany is again Europe’s biggest solar market in 2022 with 7.9 GW of newly installed capacity, followed by Spain (7.5 GW), Poland (4.9 GW), the Netherlands (4.0 GW), and France (2.7 GW). While the top 5 EU markets stayed the same, Portugal and Sweden have entered the top 10, at the expense of Hungary and Austria. For the first time, all top 10 markets are also GW- scale markets. In 2022, 26 out of 27 EU Member States deployed more solar than the year before. The EU’s solar power generation fleet increased by 25% to 208.9 GW, from 167.5 GW in 2021. Total solar capacity across the EU has exceeded 200 GW, only four years after it passed the 100 GW milestone in 2018. With 68.5 GW Germany maintains its role as the largest operator of solar power plants in the EU. Spain is now ranked 2nd, reaching a total of 26.4 GW thanks to extraordinary market growth. It takes this spot from Italy, which was in control of the EU’s second-largest solar fleet since 2011.


Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions

We know it’s frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light”  but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article’s relevance and importance. 

  • Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate

  • The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you’re interested in an article title and it is not listed here as “open access,” be sure to check the link anyway. 

How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database. 

The objective of New Research isn’t to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers’ impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

  • Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a “yes” to this automatically. 
  • Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week’s 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.

The section “Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives” includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of “perspectives,” observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.

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