HomeWeather NewsWeekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #551 – Watts Up With That?

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #551 – Watts Up With That?

The Week That Was: 2023-05-06 (May 6, 2023)
Brought to You by SEPP (
The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: “A Republic, if you can keep it.” Benjamin Franklin when asked what type of government the Constitution formed. [H/t Donn Dears]

Number of the Week: $66,446 per unit


By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Scope: The monthly report of atmospheric temperature trends by the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) is out for April. This gives a good opportunity to summarize what we know about temperature trends, and the need to correct errors as compared with the ability to correct them.

Jennifer Marohasy sent The Guardian newspaper a letter that is a tutorial on the importance of maintaining and revealing the results of standardization periods to determine whether they reveal any changes in recordings when measuring instruments are changed. It is clear that bureaucratic announcements of identical results are not sufficient.

Ole Humlum is emeritus professor of physical geography at the University of Oslo in Geosciences and adjunct professor of physical geography at the University Centre in Svalbard writes an annual State of the Climate which is now published by the Global Warming Science Foundation. His research interests include glacial and periglacial geomorphology and historical and modern climatology of the Arctic region, the North Atlantic region, including the Faroe Islands, Greenland, Svalbard, and Norway. He maintains a website which carries numerous graphs of data covering a wide range of climate issues. Changes in cloud cover changing the albedo of the earth (ability to reflect sunlight back to space rather than absorb it) are of particular interest.

David Whitehouse, previously with the Global Warming Science Forum now called the Net Zero Watch group, has further thoughts about global ice loss and its significance.

The blog, Watts Up With That, has two new features, one on surface temperatures and the second on failed climate predictions.

The EPA and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) are now routinely making claims of what is needed for healthy living without any physical evidence supporting their assertions. A few recent examples are discussed.

The US Supreme Court has taken a case that may require revisiting the concept known as the Chevron deference. The importance is discussed.

The political push to electrify everything including light vehicles requires simplistic thinking. A few problems are discussed,


Atmospheric Temperature Trends: Roy Spencer and the April 2023 Global Temperature Report from Earth System Science Center, The University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH), report that:

“The linear warming trend since January 1979 remains at +0.13 C/decade (+0.11 C/decade over the global-averaged oceans, and +0.18 C/decade over global-averaged land)”

This increase is about 0.25°F per decade, or 5 minutes of spring warming on a sunny morning in Northern Virginia. It is incomprehensible why Washington considers such warming is causing a climate crisis or emergency. It is benign and the increase in carbon dioxide emissions is causing plant life on the planet to flourish.

The entire record reported by UAH shows an average warming slightly below that reported by group of scientists at the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) headed by Cheng-Zhi Zou. The NOAA group reported an average warming of 0.14°C per decade. The small difference can be explained by the difference in altitudes considered. UAH includes the bulk atmosphere of the Lower Troposphere (surface to about 8 km (26,000 feet)) while the NOAA group considers 1 km to 10 km (3300 feet to 33,000 feet). These altitudes include all weather events except unusual tall thunderheads which rarely can reach 75,000 feet. The claims that this modest temperature increase will cause an increase in extreme weather events is without foundation.

The work of the NOAA group verifies that UAH has done a good job correcting orbital decay and drift of satellites due primarily to air drag in the far upper atmosphere. Once UAH became aware of the problems, they were scrupulous in correcting them decades ago.

The correction of satellite error demonstrates that systematic error can be corrected. Random or erratic error is another issue. Both the NOAA and the NASA-GISS surface-air temperature databases contain fluctuations that no one understands. Thus, they are not rigorous records of surface temperatures and are unreliable indicators of long-term trends. See links under Measurement Issues – Atmosphere and the April 15 and 22 TWTWs.


Release the Data: The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) has long denied independent researchers access to the data needed to check the BoM’s claim that a switch in instruments did not result in different readings for the same location at the same time. Researcher Jennifer Marohasy continues her determined pursuit of records that should be publicly available. Explaining to other parties that the important records of parallel data are limited, she writes:

“As Lloyd [a reporter] reported early this month, only three years of the 15 years of data for Brisbane airport was released to John Abbot on the Thursday before Easter and this is just a fraction of the 760 years [a total] of parallel data the bureau holds for 38 different locations spread across the landmass of Australia.

“I’ve had several academics phone and email me over the last few days asking for assistance in locating the parallel data for Brisbane Airport online. I have explained that this was never provided to me in electronic form, but as over a thousand handwritten pages. I manually transcribed the handwritten entries over Easter and undertook preliminary analysis of this data.”

In her blog, Jo Nova explains why the records are important:

“Climate is the biggest threat the world faces, they say, but the Bureau of Meteorology aren’t so worried about it that they care whether their new electronic thermometers are correct. After the old glass thermometers were replaced with electronic ones, you’d think the bureau would want to check that the new style was recording the same temperatures as the old style would have. I mean, how could anyone compare temperatures in 1896 with 2016 if the equipment changed and the two instruments were not the same?

“It’s easy to show whether the thermometers are equivalent, just put them both in the same box at the same time in parallel, and publish that data, then we’ll all know. The BoM set up the experiment, but the data from it is a national secret. The only conclusion anyone can draw from this behavior is that the new electronic thermometers are reporting artificially higher temperatures than the old glass ones, and the BoM knows it.

“As Jen Marohasy says, Australia is the only place in the world where it only takes one hot second to set a new maximum temperature record:”

The newspaper The Guardian got into the act stating it is writing an article indicating Marohasy’ s actions may be harassment of BoM. Marohasy responded, in part:

“The parallel data are the measurements as they are recorded at the same time and place by a mercury thermometer, which can be compared to temperatures as recorded by a platinum resistance probe connected to a datalogger. There are approximately 38 of these parallel data sets that run for 10 to 20 years each. These are held by the Bureau mostly as transcribed handwritten reports. It is the Bureau’s policy to not make these handwritten reports public.

“The ACORN-SAT (Australian Climate Observations Reference Network – Surface Air Temperature) records are something else entirely. These are the homogenized/remodeled temperature series that are promoted by the Bureau as showing global warming. ACORN-SAT data is publicly available and tends to show very different trends to the raw temperature data series for the same locations as archived in the Australian Data Archive for Meteorology (ADAM). ACORN-SAT is derived from ADAM following industrial scale remodeling.”

This episode demonstrates that some government entities cannot be trusted to preserve public records and make them available to the public. See links under Lowering Standards and Communicating Better to the Public – Use Yellow (Green) Journalism?


In the Arctic: Svalbard is an archipelago controlled by Norway, well within the Arctic Circle at about 74° to 81° North. It has a population of about 2500 and is a northern outpost for meteorological stations. The West Spitsbergen Current branch of the Gulf Stream gives it winter temperatures up to 20 °C (36 °F) higher than those at similar latitudes in Russia and Canada. The waters are navigable most of the year. Professor of physical geography at the University of Oslo in Geosciences Ole Humlum has done extensive research in the area and in the Arctic.

John Robson draws interest to Ole Humlum’s website which has a large amount of climate data and associated graphs. Of particular interest to TWTW were the graphs of cloud cover. There has been a decline, particularly since 1995. The reduction in low level cloud cover reduces the globe’s albedo, the ability to reflect sunlight back to space. As described in the ten essays on Basic Climate Physics explaining Planetary Heat Balance by Howard Hayden on the SEPP website, the change in albedo will cause a warming of the planet’s surface and a significant increase in infrared radiation both from the surface and from the Earth to space.

Further, a reduction of albedo will far better explain the warming of the surfaces of the ocean than the downwelling of infrared radiation from greenhouse gases which cannot penetrate water more than a few millimeters (mm), a fraction of an inch. Thus, we have two reasonable explanations for the warming of the oceans unrelated to greenhouse gas warming: 1) a reduction in the Globe’s albedo; and 2) Professor Yim’s explanation of geothermal activity below the surface of the oceans.

See link under Challenging the Orthodoxy, for Howard Hayden’s Basic Climate Science and the Oct 29, 2022, TWTW for Professor Yim’s explanation.


Sea Surface Temperatures: Last week TWTW discussed a post, possibly by David Whitehouse, on recent sea surface temperatures. Whitehouse continues his discussion with:

“Data from some 50-spacecraft using a variety of techniques to monitor ice sheets show a worldwide retreat in the face of rising global temperatures.

“However, a detail from a recent news report on ice loss struck me as being very interesting: All the ice lost from Greenland and Antarctica in the past three decades could be represented as a cube 20 km on its side. Just compare that to the height of Mt Everest – about 9 km. That’s a lot of ice.

“A 20 km cube is a lot: 7,560 billion tonnes of it actually. Two thirds of it comes from Greenland with the rest from Antarctica. Greenland is melting, Antarctica is being chipped away at the edges. The combined volume of ice in Greenland and Antarctica is about 32,900,000 cubic km. Hence a 20 km cube (8000 cubic km) represents a loss of only 0.024%, over three decades.

“Looked at in absolute terms that doesn’t appear that much. It has contributed to an estimated 22 mm [0.87 inches] in global sea level rise. But at what stage does this slow melt become just interesting rather than alarming? One the face of it 0.024% over 30 years doesn’t seem something to unduly worry about, after all nobody would expect ice volume to remain constant in any realistic situation of climatic change. [Boldface added]

“The main point I took from the report is that ice loss seems to be a global phenomenon. What’s happening in Greenland and Antarctica is part of a global pattern.

As explained above, TWTW considers this to be part of natural processes, unrelated to carbon dioxide emissions. Among other reasons, loss of Arctic sea ice is cyclical, and Susan Crockford gives an example around Svalbard. Whitehouse’s closing paragraph is interesting:

“Not so long ago the place where I write this (southern England) was uninhabitable tundra, not far from the greatest southerly reach of Ice Age glaciers. Thanks to globally rising temperatures England today has become a green and pleasant land. The Earth has never been unchanging, but now we have the most sophisticated technologies to measure even the smallest and most gradual changes, using a multitude of parameters and features that respond to even modest changes in temperatures and the environments. What is more, we have become hyper-sensitized to those changes and are apt to extrapolate them far into the future – over longer timespans than just few years or decades and anticipating changes far more rapid and far more than one percent.”

Climate change is ongoing, as it has been for hundreds of millions of years. A cooling can be deadly for humanity. See links under Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice.


New Reports: Anthony Watts of Watts Up With That (WUWT) announced two additions to his website. One is a display of real time (hourly) “global” surface temperatures of the Earth. The trend line starts in January 2015. TWTW is highly skeptical of any “global surface temperature” but the exercise may prove useful in revealing trends at the reporting stations (the ocean buoys reporting sea surface temperatures move) if the procedures are consistent and changes in instrumentation are noted and standardized. The UAH atmospheric temperatures are trends, not specific temperatures, and TWTW considers them to be the most useful and reliable temperature data available.

The second new feature is a timeline of failed predictions. This can be a useful reference. Having pointed out that the mathematics used created conceptual errors in US energy models making them useless for predictions, the 1966 prediction of the earth running out of oil is a favorite of Ken Haapala. Please note that WUWT has carried 450 issues of TWTW. See link under Seeking a Common Ground.


No Evidence Needed? The rigorous statistical studies demonstrating a strong relationship between frequent inhaling of hot tobacco smoke from cigarettes over time and lung cancer and stroke was an important advance to personal health. This relationship applied even though the exact mechanism was not known.

Unfortunately, this breakthrough was modified by those who thought such relationships could be established to extreme precision. Thus, we have been bombarded with studies that assert relationships that do not stand up to rigorous analysis and often are meaningless. Further, distinguished scientists such as Fredrick Seitz and S. Fred Singer, both of whom were chairman of SEPP, who have criticized this abuse of statistics have been smeared by accusations of taking money for personal gain without any evidence, much to the acclaim of the press.

We continue to see assertions of health issues without physical evidence or even rigorous statistics. An example is the CDC website on secondhand smoke which states:

“There is no safe level of exposure to secondhand smoke; even brief exposure can cause serious health problems. Secondhand smoke can cause coronary heart disease, stroke, and lung cancer in adults who do not smoke.”

The references are bureaucratic announcements, not physical evidence or rigorous statistical studies. Using this procedure, one can claim that water intoxication kills humans, therefore there is no safe level of drinking water or fluids containing water.

The EPA is on a similar path on fine particles, PM2.5. No evidence, just assertions and highly questionable health surveys. There are no reports of massive increases in death rates in China, South Korea, and Japan which have been recently plagued by yellow dust from Mongolia. These countries are experiencing significant population aging. People are living longer and healthier than ever, in part thanks to the use of fossil fuels, despite the PM2.5 they create. See link under EPA and other Regulators on the March and


Chevron Deference: The Wall Street Journal reports:

“Few Supreme Court doctrines have been stretched more by regulators and lower-court judges than Chevron deference, which says judges should defer to regulators’ interpretations when laws are supposedly ambiguous. The High Court agreed Monday to give Chevron a much-needed legal review.”

After briefly discussing the specifics, the editorial continues:

“Applying the Court’s Chevron (1984) framework, the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals upheld the government’s broad interpretation as ‘reasonable’ because it was not expressly precluded by the law. In other words, as long as a law doesn’t forbid the government from doing something, it can do it. Where have we seen this before?

“The Biden vaccine mandate and eviction moratorium were particularly egregious examples. The High Court resolved challenges to those policies under its major questions doctrine, which requires clear authorization from Congress for regulations that are politically or economically significant.

“The Court is taking the next logical step by agreeing to revisit its much-abused Chevron precedent. This suggests that there could be five Justices willing to overturn the doctrine or at the least pare it back, which would strengthen the separation of powers and individual liberty. More potentially good news from the High Court.”

Those who desire expansion of power in Washington without any clear, compelling, Constitutional justification no doubt will attack the justices on the Court that may alter the Chevron deference. See Article # 1


Subsidies for Luxury Goods? Thanks to the mis-named Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Washington is pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into the manufacture of unneeded goods such as electric vehicles. Modern internal combustion engines emit water vapor and carbon dioxide, with few traditional pollutants. Further, North America can be independent of other sources of oil and natural gas. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine affected Europe’s supply of natural gas, not US supplies other than that exported to Europe.

Washington’s subsidies of Electric Vehicles are effectively for luxury goods – benefiting the wealthy not the ordinary citizen.

Robert Bryce reports that “The average EV buyer has an annual income of about $150,000. That’s twice the U.S. average.” Why is Washington subsidizing luxury goods that depreciate quickly? Further it has no concept of the damage that extracting and processing of rare earths will cause or the expense. See links under Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles.



SEPP is conducting its annual vote for the recipient of the coveted trophy, The Jackson, a lump of coal. Readers are asked to nominate and vote for who they think is most deserving. Senators Schumer and Manchin won in 2022.

The voting will close on June 30. Please send your nominee and a brief reason why the person is qualified for the honor to The awardee will be announced at the annual meeting of the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness on July 7 to 9.


Number of the Week: $66,446 per unit. On May 3, Robert Bryce reported:

“Yesterday afternoon, Ford reported a $722 million loss on its EV [electric vehicle] business over the first three months of 2023. During that span, Ford sold 10,866 EVs, meaning it lost $66,446 on every EV it sold.”

There is no reason to expect such losses will continue. Unlike Lordstown Motors, a new manufacturer of light trucks that news reports state will stop manufacturing, Ford is a highly experienced, highly profitable manufacturer. The low sales and huge losses demonstrate that Ford grossly overestimated the market for EV’s and grossly underestimated the cost of manufacturing. Efficiencies of scale are meaningless if the company is losing money on each unit. See link under Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles.


Twitter And Free Speech In The Musk Era: The Manhattan Contrarian Experience

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, May 3, 2023

“The moral is that humans are flawed creatures [who don’t like being criticized], and Elon Musk is no different from anyone else in that regard.”

Suppressing Scientific Inquiry

Silence of the Grid Experts

By Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler), Climate Etc., May 3, 2023

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013


Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014


Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

Download with no charge:

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

Download with no charge:

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

Global Sea-Level Rise: An Evaluation of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Patrick Moore Discusses Climate Change Manufactured Crisis

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Apr 30, 2023


Scientists Employ Wit To Highlight The Lack of Climate Trends Across Greece Since The 1800s

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, May 1, 2023

Link to paper: In Search of Climate Crisis in Greece Using Hydrological Data: 404 Not Found

By Demetris Koutsoyiannis, et al. Water, Apr 27, 2023

From abstract: “Given the European declaration of climate emergency, along with the establishment of a ministry of climate crisis in Greece, this dataset was also investigated from a climatic perspective using the longest of the data records to assess whether or not they support the climate crisis doctrine.”

#CoolClimateData: clouds and water vapour

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, May 3, 2023

Link to:

By Ole Humlum, His Blog, Accessed May 3, 2023

Ice Cores, Temperatures, And CO2

By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, May 5, 2023

1875 was coldest in 10,000 years, Warming A Good Thing

By Ron Clutz, Science Matters, May 5, 2023

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