SpaceX’s valuation is largely based on optimism about its potential future earnings, as opposed to financial results it has demonstrated so far.
It is currently not profitable, meaning it loses more money from its operations than it makes.
The company lost more than $9bn in 2025 and 2026 so far, according to its financial filings, due to its huge spending on AI and other infrastructure investments.
The biggest focus of its business is the manufacture and launch of rockets with reusable parts.
SpaceX also manufactures and launches Starlink internet satellites, and through this year’s acquisition of xAI, another company Musk owned and operated, SpaceX entered into the AI business, too.
SpaceX has said it will use the money to “fuel its growth strategy” around rockets, satellites for its growing Starlink internet service, and AI, including speculative plans to build data centres in orbit.
Nancy Tengler, who heads Laffer Tengler Investments and put in an order to buy shares of SpaceX, called the company’s AI business a “cash incinerator” despite Musk’s ambitions for the segment.
“It’s important to take some of the projections with a grain of salt,” Tengler said.
Nevertheless, she is buying into the company for its long-term potential.
“Our investment horizon is three, five, and even ten years,” Tengler said.
She is also expecting SpaceX to merge with Tesla in the next two years, potentially creating a company worth more than either one on its own.
But the ambitions of SpaceX are currently more lofty than satellites or mergers.
As stated in its IPO prospectus, the mission of SpaceX is: “To build the systems and technologies necessary to make life multiplanetary, to understand the true nature of the universe and to extend the light of consciousness to the stars.”
SpaceX even said that its future growth and success is based in large part on building what it refers to as the “lunar economy.”
Essentially, such an economy would entail getting people and cargo to the moon and Mars, something that would need to be a regular occurrence for a true economy to develop around it.
SpaceX admits that it is unsure such a thing will ever succeed.
“Many of our initiatives… involve significant technical complexity, unproven technologies or technologies that do not exist, and such initiatives may not achieve commercial viability,” the company wrote in its prospectus.
